Santurtzi vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
68.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santurtzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
DSJ
4 - 2
SNT
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SNT
2 - 1
UCD
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SDS
4 - 2
SNT
18%
23%
59%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SNT
2 - 1
ZAL
59%
21%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 0
SNT
24%
24%
52%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 2
GER
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GER
0 - 1
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
3 - 1
GER
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GER
0 - 2
UDL
22%
28%
50%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CFB
0 - 2
GER
16%
24%
60%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |