Sants B vs APA Poble Sec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
43%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sants B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 0
SAN
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
SEC
43%
22%
36%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 5
SAN
16%
17%
66%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 2
MAR
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 4
SAN
28%
20%
53%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
APA Poble Sec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 3
APS
29%
22%
49%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
APS
3 - 2
CFB
92%
6%
2%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
APS
18%
18%
65%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
APS
4 - 3
CBX
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CVI
0 - 2
APS
21%
20%
59%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |