Santos U20 vs Tirol Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAN
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
GOI
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
CRU
3 - 3
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
3 - 2
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
5 - 2
COR
46%
23%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |