Santos Laguna vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
PUE
75%
16%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
NEC
2 - 2
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
CHI
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 2
ATL
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
ATL
3 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
COB
2 - 0
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 0
COQ
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
CSD
0 - 6
UCO
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
UCO
2 - 2
UCH
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2003 |
UCO
2 - 0
USF
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |