Liga MX Finals Cl. Final
Global 2-2
Santos Laguna vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
SAN
7 - 1
MOR
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
MOR
3 - 3
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 0
SAN
42%
26%
33%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
PUM
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
AME
1 - 0
SAN
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 0
PAC
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
PAC
2 - 2
TOL
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
AME
2 - 2
TOL
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUE
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |