Santos Laguna vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
TIG
1 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 1
QRO
81%
13%
7%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
MOR
2 - 4
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAC
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2003 |
JAG
1 - 1
SAN
27%
27%
47%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2003 |
TOL
5 - 0
SNL
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ATS
2 - 0
TOL
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
TIG
1 - 0
TOL
41%
26%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
TOL
6 - 0
AME
54%
23%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |