Liga MX Finals Ap. Final
Global 1-4
Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
JAG
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JAG
2 - 2
SAN
41%
24%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 0
ATS
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
TIG
1 - 0
QRO
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
QRO
0 - 0
TIG
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
TIG
3 - 0
PAC
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2011 |
PAC
0 - 1
TIG
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PUE
0 - 1
TIG
44%
27%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |