Liga MX Finals Ap. Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Santos Laguna vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
JAG
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JAG
2 - 2
SAN
41%
24%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 0
ATS
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
MOR
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MOR
52%
24%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAZ
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 0
JAG
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
MOR
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |