Liga MX Finals Cl. Final
Global 3-2
Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2008 |
CAZ
1 - 2
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 2
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
NEC
67%
20%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 2
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2008 |
CAZ
1 - 2
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
CAZ
1 - 1
SNL
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2008 |
SNL
0 - 1
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
CAZ
2 - 1
JAG
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
JAG
1 - 0
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |