CONCACAF Champions Cup Last 16
Global 11-2
Santos Laguna vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 0
TOL
47%
25%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 6
SAN
32%
26%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAZ
1 - 2
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
TIJ
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
TIG
2 - 1
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
HNP
0 - 1
MAR
28%
26%
45%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 6
SAN
32%
26%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
MOT
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
4 - 3
VID
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
RES
1 - 1
MAR
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |