Santos de la Humosa vs Carranza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
73.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-82%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos de la Humosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDS
5 - 0
SDH
69%
18%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SDH
1 - 3
AVA
33%
23%
44%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 1
SDH
54%
21%
26%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SDH
1 - 3
NPI
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JUS
2 - 0
SDH
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
ACA
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 0
CAR
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
RCA
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
DAG
62%
20%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 1
CAR
21%
22%
57%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |