Clausura Costa Rica Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Santos de Guápiles vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos de Guápiles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
ORI
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
LDA
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CSH
2 - 0
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
BFC
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
SAP
2 - 1
RSL
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAP
0 - 0
CSC
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 3
SAP
21%
25%
55%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
SAP
1 - 0
PER
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PFC
2 - 2
SAP
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |