Santos de Guápiles vs Carmelita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos de Guápiles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SAP
0 - 2
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
PER
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LFC
3 - 2
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
CSU
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
5 - 1
SAN
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
ADC
4 - 2
SAN
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
ADC
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
ADC
0 - 3
LDA
18%
24%
59%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
ADC
1 - 1
SAP
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CSC
1 - 2
ADC
76%
17%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |