Santos FC vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 1
COR
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
CIE
2 - 1
SAN
29%
24%
46%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
COT
0 - 4
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
BAH
4 - 7
SAN
37%
26%
38%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 2
ATP
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
VIT
3 - 4
GOI
47%
24%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
PPE
1 - 1
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
ATP
1 - 2
VIT
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 0
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 1
BAH
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |