Santos FC vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
SAO
0 - 3
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
SAN
5 - 1
GRE
73%
16%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
PAY
1 - 1
SAN
27%
24%
49%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
COT
0 - 1
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 1
GOI
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 0
ATP
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
COR
3 - 1
VAS
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 1
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
GOI
3 - 2
VAS
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 0
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |