Santos FC vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
9.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1965 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCH
75%
15%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1965 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAN
42%
23%
35%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1965 |
UCH
1 - 5
SAN
43%
23%
35%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1964 |
IND
2 - 1
SAN
51%
22%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1964 |
SAN
2 - 3
IND
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1965 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCH
57%
19%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1965 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAN
42%
23%
35%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
UNI
2 - 0
PEÑ
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
UNI
67%
17%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |