Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Santos FC vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1962 |
UCO
1 - 1
SAN
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1962 |
SAN
9 - 1
CCP
73%
15%
13%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
CCP
1 - 1
SAN
67%
17%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1962 |
SAN
6 - 1
MUN
79%
12%
9%
|
77 | 21 | 56 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
MUN
3 - 4
SAN
31%
21%
48%
|
77 | 21 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1962 |
UCO
1 - 1
SAN
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1962 |
EME
7 - 2
UCO
70%
16%
15%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
MIL
1 - 1
UCO
56%
21%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1962 |
UCO
4 - 1
MIL
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1962 |
UCO
3 - 0
EME
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |