Santos FC vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
ATP
2 - 0
SAN
29%
25%
47%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
FLU
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAN
36%
25%
38%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 0
VAS
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
CRZ
0 - 0
SAN
52%
22%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRÊ
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
VIT
3 - 2
SAO
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 2
AVA
63%
22%
16%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 1
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
GOI
2 - 1
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |