Santos FC vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
CRZ
4 - 0
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
AME
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
SAN
4 - 0
IFC
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
AME
2 - 0
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
FLA
3 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 1
COT
65%
22%
13%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2008 |
FLU
3 - 1
SAO
42%
27%
31%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ATP
1 - 1
SAO
32%
28%
41%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLU
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
SAO
0 - 1
GRE
60%
24%
17%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |