Santos FC vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
GOI
3 - 4
SAN
33%
24%
43%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 0
JUV
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 3
SAN
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAN
18%
21%
62%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 2
ATP
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2005 |
SAO
4 - 0
ATP
63%
19%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLA
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2005 |
ATP
1 - 1
SAO
26%
22%
52%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2005 |
RIV
2 - 3
SAO
33%
25%
42%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 3
SCI
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |