Série A Fase Final Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Santos FC vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
SAO
3 - 2
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
SAN
1 - 3
PPE
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
GUA
0 - 2
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
BAH
1 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
SAN
3 - 0
FLA
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAO
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2002 |
SAO
3 - 2
VIT
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
SAO
5 - 3
VAS
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2002 |
SAO
5 - 2
PPE
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
POR
1 - 3
SAO
33%
25%
43%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |