Santos FC vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
FLU
4 - 3
SAN
36%
24%
41%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAL
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
ATM
3 - 0
SAN
28%
23%
49%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 0
FLA
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 1
ATM
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAO
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
SAO
0 - 1
FFL
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
FLA
2 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 2
PAY
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |