Santos FC vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
5 - 1
BAH
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
SPO
0 - 2
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
3 - 0
AMF
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 2
VIT
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
JUV
0 - 3
SAO
56%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
3 - 2
GAM
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |