Santos FC vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.5%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
5.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
COR
1 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAO
80%
15%
6%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
PPE
3 - 1
SAN
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
AUD
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
LON
0 - 1
SAN
11%
21%
68%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
BRA
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 1
RIO
45%
23%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
XVD
44%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
RIO
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
RIO
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |