Copa Libertadores Final
Global 7-4
Santos FC vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
14.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1962 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
SAN
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1962 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCO
66%
18%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 1962 |
UCO
1 - 1
SAN
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1962 |
SAN
9 - 1
CCP
73%
15%
13%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
CCP
1 - 1
SAN
67%
17%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1962 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
SAN
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1962 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1962 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
NAC
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 1962 |
NAC
2 - 1
PEÑ
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1961 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
SLB
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |