Santos FC vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
FLA
89%
9%
2%
|
85 | 45 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 4
SAN
9%
19%
72%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 2
SAN
8%
18%
74%
|
85 | 45 | 40 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
OES
1 - 2
SAN
14%
23%
64%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 1
SAO
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 1
PEN
47%
24%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
COR
1 - 1
PEN
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 0
SAO
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |