Santos FC vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 2
SAN
31%
25%
43%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
13%
20%
68%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
COL
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
PAL
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ITU
2 - 3
SAN
9%
18%
73%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
PAU
0 - 1
POR
31%
25%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
PAU
2 - 3
MOG
51%
24%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PPE
0 - 0
PAU
56%
23%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
PAU
3 - 2
SAO
14%
23%
63%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 1
PAU
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |