Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 11-0
Santos FC vs Naviraiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.4%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
12%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.5%
2.7%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
PAU
2 - 3
SAN
13%
22%
65%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 1
COR
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
NAV
0 - 1
SAN
11%
19%
71%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MIR
1 - 2
SAN
14%
20%
66%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Naviraiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PAN
1 - 2
NAV
26%
24%
51%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
IVI
1 - 1
NAV
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
NAV
3 - 1
GUA
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 8 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
NAV
0 - 1
SAN
11%
19%
71%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
NAV
1 - 0
ITA
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |