Santos FC vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
COT
2 - 1
SAN
24%
26%
50%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
ATM
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SJS
1 - 2
SAN
8%
17%
75%
|
86 | 44 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
AMF
1 - 0
SAN
19%
25%
57%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAO
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
FLA
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 5
NAC
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
3 - 1
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
38%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
SAN
15%
23%
62%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | 0 |