Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 3-0
Santos FC vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
16.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
10%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
10%
2.6%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ITU
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
SAN
15%
23%
63%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
MIX
0 - 0
SAN
8%
18%
74%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
PEN
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 0
PPE
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
MIX
0 - 0
SAN
8%
18%
74%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
MIX
1 - 1
CUI
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CUI
1 - 0
MIX
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LUV
3 - 1
MIX
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
MIX
2 - 1
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |