Santos FC vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.3%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.5%
2.2%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 2
SAN
12%
20%
69%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
88%
9%
3%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ATM
0 - 0
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
COT
5 - 1
SAN
36%
28%
37%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MIR
3 - 3
MAR
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
MOG
0 - 2
MIR
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
MIR
0 - 2
BOA
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 0
MIR
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
MIR
3 - 1
TUP
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |