Santos FC vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
FFL
2 - 1
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
BOT
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
24%
23%
53%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 0
COR
49%
25%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
JUV
2 - 0
SCI
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
FLU
3 - 2
JUV
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 1
SAO
21%
24%
56%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2006 |
JUV
0 - 1
PPE
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
ATP
1 - 0
JUV
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |