Santos FC vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
SAO
4 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
38%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 3
SAO
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 0
UNI
95%
4%
1%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 1
ITU
95%
4%
1%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
IBE
0 - 1
JWI
45%
25%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
JWI
4 - 2
SAC
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
JWI
2 - 2
BSC
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
GUA
3 - 1
JWI
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
RPO
2 - 1
JWI
56%
21%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |