Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 1-0
Santos FC vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
COR
48%
26%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
COR
2 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
JEC
0 - 1
SAN
18%
23%
59%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
MOG
1 - 1
SAN
19%
23%
58%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
64%
21%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
JEC
0 - 1
SAN
18%
23%
59%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
JEC
17%
23%
61%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
JEC
1 - 0
ARA
72%
16%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
JEC
6 - 1
JUV
75%
16%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
JEC
22%
22%
55%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |