Santos FC vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
REM
0 - 4
SAN
13%
22%
66%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 4
PAL
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
10 - 0
NAV
88%
10%
3%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
PAU
2 - 3
SAN
13%
22%
65%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
MOG
3 - 0
ITU
45%
24%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ITU
1 - 0
PAU
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
ITU
1 - 1
PPE
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 2
ITU
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
ITU
1 - 0
SER
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |