Santos FC vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
8.2%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.1%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ATM
0 - 0
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
COT
5 - 1
SAN
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
SCI
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
VAS
1 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAC
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
LIN
0 - 1
GUA
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
BOA
1 - 3
GUA
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 0
BOA
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 1
LIN
66%
22%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |