Santos FC vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2006 |
1 - 1
SAN
6%
13%
81%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
PAL
1 - 2
SAN
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
91%
7%
2%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 0
ATP
44%
24%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAN
20%
22%
58%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
2 - 1
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAO
20%
22%
58%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 3
ATM
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 0
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
ATM
0 - 2
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +3 |