Santos FC vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
FLU
4 - 3
SAN
36%
24%
41%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAL
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
ATM
3 - 0
SAN
28%
23%
49%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 0
FLA
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2005 |
ATP
3 - 3
SAN
41%
24%
36%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
FOR
2 - 2
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 2
SCI
36%
26%
39%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
BRA
0 - 2
FOR
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
PPE
2 - 1
FOR
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
FOR
5 - 2
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |