Santos FC vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPO
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
VEL
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 0
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 2
GUA
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 2
FFL
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOC
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
COR
0 - 1
FLU
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 0
FLU
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLU
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |