Santos FC vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
AGU
79%
15%
6%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAN
18%
26%
57%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
26%
28%
47%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
MIR
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 2
FOR
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
FER
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
SAN
49%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
9%
19%
72%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 3
FER
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
URT
2 - 0
FER
24%
28%
48%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |