Santos FC vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
FLA
0 - 3
SAN
37%
26%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAN
23%
24%
53%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 1
FLA
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 0
PAY
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
FFL
1 - 0
SAN
32%
24%
44%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
CRI
2 - 0
ATP
38%
25%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRI
53%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2003 |
CRI
3 - 0
PPE
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
0 - 0
CRI
72%
16%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 1
CRI
55%
22%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |