Santos FC vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
GOI
3 - 3
SAN
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
SAN
5 - 2
CRI
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAN
29%
25%
47%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
FLA
67%
18%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAO
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
COT
1 - 0
BOT
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
FFL
1 - 1
COT
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
COT
1 - 1
PAY
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 3
COT
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
COT
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |