Santos FC vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
GAM
1 - 1
SAN
21%
24%
56%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 2
BAH
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
BAH
2 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
COT
1 - 0
VAS
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
COT
3 - 2
SCI
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
ATM
1 - 1
COT
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
COT
0 - 1
GRE
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2001 |
GRE
3 - 1
COT
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |