Santos FC vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAN
18%
23%
59%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
SCI
2 - 1
SAN
24%
24%
51%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
4 - 1
VIT
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
FLA
2 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
ATM
65%
19%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
COR
1 - 2
JUV
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
COR
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
COR
1 - 0
GOI
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
COR
0 - 0
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ATP
3 - 1
COR
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |