Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Santos FC vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
SCI
53%
24%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ONC
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
COR
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
ONC
0 - 1
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
COR
0 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 1
SAN
71%
20%
9%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 1
AME
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 0
JAG
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
CCP
0 - 0
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 0
CCP
20%
27%
54%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | -1 |