Santos FC vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 0
FFL
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2003 |
PAY
2 - 1
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
ATM
0 - 0
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 2
PAR
70%
18%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
12O
1 - 4
SAN
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
NAC
4 - 1
MAN
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
BSC
2 - 0
NAC
43%
31%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIG
44%
30%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
AME
1 - 0
NAC
66%
22%
13%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
NAC
4 - 0
EME
50%
30%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |