Copa Libertadores Final
Global 1-5
Santos FC vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
SAN
4 - 0
BAH
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2003 |
BOC
2 - 0
SAN
38%
24%
39%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2003 |
IND
2 - 3
SAN
34%
25%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
BOC
3 - 1
IND
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2003 |
BOC
2 - 0
SAN
38%
24%
39%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
TAL
3 - 1
BOC
22%
25%
54%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
AME
0 - 4
BOC
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
BOC
2 - 2
ARS
85%
10%
5%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |