Santos FC vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
5 - 1
COR
50%
28%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ITU
0 - 1
SAN
15%
22%
63%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
AUD
1 - 1
SAN
17%
23%
60%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
XVD
78%
15%
6%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
GOI
0 - 3
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
BOT
74%
18%
8%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BOT
4 - 2
PAU
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
PPE
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MET
1 - 0
BOT
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |