Santos FC vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
SCI
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
FFL
2 - 2
SAN
21%
26%
53%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
COT
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 0
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
CRZ
32%
28%
41%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
ATP
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
BOT
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
SDJ
78%
16%
6%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | +1 |