Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 8-2
Santos FC vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CRI
3 - 0
SAN
22%
25%
54%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
BAH
68%
20%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 1
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 3
SAN
32%
26%
43%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
GOI
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
BOT
23%
24%
53%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
COR
39%
29%
31%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
XVD
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
XVD
1 - 1
BOT
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |